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Spatial co-localisation of extreme weather events: A clear and present danger

  • Rosalind J. Dodd*
  • , David R. Chadwick
  • , Ian M. Harris
  • , Adrian Hines
  • , Dan Hollis
  • , Theodoros Economou
  • , Dylan Gwynn-Jones
  • , John Scullion
  • , David A. Robinson
  • , David L. Jones
  • *Awdur cyfatebol y gwaith hwn
  • Lincoln University
  • Bangor University
  • Met Office
  • University of Exeter
  • The University of Western Australia
  • UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology

Allbwn ymchwil: Cyfraniad at gyfnodolynLlythyradolygiad gan gymheiriaid

22 Dyfyniadau (Scopus)

Crynodeb

Extreme weather events have become a dominant feature of the narrative surrounding changes in global climate with large impacts on ecosystem stability, functioning and resilience; however, understanding of their risk of co-occurrence at the regional scale is lacking. Based on the UK Met Office’s long-term temperature and rainfall records, we present the first evidence demonstrating significant increases in the magnitude, direction of change and spatial co-localisation of extreme weather events since 1961. Combining this new understanding with land-use data sets allowed us to assess the likely consequences on future agricultural production and conservation priority areas. All land-uses are impacted by the increasing risk of at least one extreme event and conservation areas were identified as the hotspots of risk for the co-occurrence of multiple event types. Our findings provide a basis to regionally guide land-use optimisation, land management practices and regulatory actions preserving ecosystem services against multiple climate threats.

Iaith wreiddiolSaesneg
Tudalennau (o-i)60-72
Nifer y tudalennau13
CyfnodolynEcology Letters
Cyfrol24
Rhif cyhoeddi1
Dyddiad ar-lein cynnar12 Hyd 2020
Dynodwyr Gwrthrych Digidol (DOIs)
StatwsCyhoeddwyd - 01 Ion 2021

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