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Spatial co-localisation of extreme weather events: A clear and present danger

  • Rosalind J. Dodd*
  • , David R. Chadwick
  • , Ian M. Harris
  • , Adrian Hines
  • , Dan Hollis
  • , Theodoros Economou
  • , Dylan Gwynn-Jones
  • , John Scullion
  • , David A. Robinson
  • , David L. Jones
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Lincoln University
  • Bangor University
  • Met Office
  • University of Exeter
  • The University of Western Australia
  • UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology

Research output: Contribution to journalLetterpeer-review

22 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Extreme weather events have become a dominant feature of the narrative surrounding changes in global climate with large impacts on ecosystem stability, functioning and resilience; however, understanding of their risk of co-occurrence at the regional scale is lacking. Based on the UK Met Office’s long-term temperature and rainfall records, we present the first evidence demonstrating significant increases in the magnitude, direction of change and spatial co-localisation of extreme weather events since 1961. Combining this new understanding with land-use data sets allowed us to assess the likely consequences on future agricultural production and conservation priority areas. All land-uses are impacted by the increasing risk of at least one extreme event and conservation areas were identified as the hotspots of risk for the co-occurrence of multiple event types. Our findings provide a basis to regionally guide land-use optimisation, land management practices and regulatory actions preserving ecosystem services against multiple climate threats.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)60-72
Number of pages13
JournalEcology Letters
Volume24
Issue number1
Early online date12 Oct 2020
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 01 Jan 2021

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 2 - Zero Hunger
    SDG 2 Zero Hunger
  2. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action
  3. SDG 15 - Life on Land
    SDG 15 Life on Land

Keywords

  • Ecosystem service
  • extreme weather
  • land-use
  • Weather
  • Climate
  • Climate Change
  • Ecosystem
  • Extreme Weather

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